Posted on: January 7, 2018 Posted by: admin Comments: 0

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someone with enough understanding of the politics of Haiti and the institutional intricacies of Haiti who also had a strong scientific understanding of the earthquake hazards.N. EC: One of the examples is the importance of what we call in technical terms microzoning which means that before you decide how and where to rebuild a large city in an earthquake-prone area you need to know what the characteristics of the subsurface are in terms of the reaction of the ground to seismic waves as they pass through Some terrains are really good really stiff and do not amplify seismic waves but some do in ways that are very complex Depends on the type of soil depends on the topography depends on many factors . We know that Port-au-Prince will be impacted by a major earthquake in the future Can’t tell when but we know it will happen and we know it will be worse than what happened on Jan 12 2010 So the bottom line for us as far as urban planning is this microzoning Q: How much do we know about the next earthquake to hit Haiti EC: We know from our evidence that the southern part of Haiti the southern peninsula the region really close to Port-au-Prince is one of those [earthquake-prone] areas We also know that the northern coastline is one of those areas . because it is building up that elastic energy that will eventually be released in an earthquake Scientists know that it will happen again we know the possible magnitude of the earthquakes to come and we know that those magnitudes are greater than 7 So we know that Haiti needs to prepare for earthquakes of magnitude greater than 7 Q: Do you think Haiti will be better prepared when the next one strikes EC: When engineers talk about reconstruction and about buildings they think about the 50-year time scale because that’s the average lifetime of a building So within the next 50 years the likelihood of another magnitude 7 is high That is a scientific fact Given that there are two options: You ignore that threat and do business as usual or you do not ignore that fact but try proactively to plan properly for the reconstruction and to build properly and to educate properly and to monitor earthquakes properly So there are many things that need to be done in order to be ready when the next earthquake hits Hopefully it will hit very late in the future at a time when Haiti will be much more ready than it is now . In my viewpoint it doesn’t matter when an earthquake will strike What matters is whether the country will be ready to face that earthquake Q: What about your recent finding that the earthquake occurred not on the Enriquillo fault but a previously unknown fault EC: [This discovery] is not a big surprise for two reasons Reason number one is that there are other faults beside the Enriquillo that we know of that we know are active And number two this is not the first time at all that an earthquake highlights a fault that we didn’t know about before Think about Northridge 1994 . It took an earthquake to tell us this fault is active it’s capable of producing an earthquake So this happens all the time unfortunately Q: Do you think reconstruction is moving quickly enough EC: It is a little slow to my taste but I understand that there are other considerations that are at play here and the government is under a lot of political pressure social pressure . But at the same time they should not forget that there are important steps that have to be takenand policymakers should encourage more people to spend time in parks and gardens.” he said. the personal handset is progressively becoming the primary destination to consume entertainment.

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